The set-up: Cleveland comes in focused to this series after losing two of three in Baltimore over the weekend. No need to overthink this one in my opinion, as the sheer talent discrepancy on the mound and at the plate absolutely justifies in laying this larger road price. The visitors hand the ball to Trevor Bauer, while the home side counter with Jakob Junis.

The pitchers: Bauer (6-6, 3.55 ERA) is 4-4 with a 2.89 ERA in 15 career appearances vs. the Royals.

Junis (4-7, 5.23) took the loss in Cleveland last week, getting shelled for four runs off nine hits, including two home runs (Junis is now 2-3 with a 5.89 ERA in eight appearances lifetime vs. Cleveland.)

The pick: I'm giving a big nod to the Tribe at the plate and a big nod to the Indians on the mound and with those two crucial factors clearly working in their favor, I expect them to make the most of this favorable spot. Lay it.

Cleveland Indians

10* play