The set-up: I had a play on the Indians last night and I think they carry that momentum over here in another favorable matchup. Cleveland comes in on top form, as it's now 18-9 since June 1st. Mike Clevinger gets the call for the visitors and Danny Duffy goes for the home side.

The pitchers: Clevinger (1-2, 5.89 ERA) gave up seven earned runs over 1 2/3's innings vs. Baltimore in his last start. It was his first start back from a lengthy stint on the DL, so I'm not going to read too much into one shaky outing. A date vs. the Royals is just what the doctor ordered as well for Clevinger, as note that he's 6-0 with a 2.25 ERA in ten appearances vs. them.

Duffy (3-4, 4.43) is 2-10 with a 5.68 ERA in 19 career appearances vs. the Tribe.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Cleveland is a sharp 16-10 (+3 units) vs. southpaws this year, while KC is a terrible 7-13 (-2.4 units) at home this season as an underdog of +125 or more. I like Clevinger to get back on track with a much better effort and for the Indians to continue their surge at the plate. Lay it.

Cleveland Indians

10* play