The set-up: No need to overthink this one in my opinion, as the sheer talent discrepancy on the mound absolutely justifies in laying this larger price. The visitors hand the ball to the volatile Ivan Nova, while the home side goes with the steady Mike Fiers.

The pitchers: Nova (4-7, 5.88 ERA) has the third worst ERA in the majors among qualifiers.

Fiers (8-3, 3.78) comes in on top form, having won six straight (he's allowed just one earned run in each of his past four starts.)

The pick: Fiers is also 2-0 with a 2.21 ERA in six career match-ups for the Chi-Sox. I'm banking on Fiers continuing his domination of this match-up and I expect him to carry over his recent momentum in this favorable position. Lay the price.

7* Athletics