The set-up: Lance Lynn leads the league in wins this year and I think he'll keep the good times rolling in this favorable interleague matchup in front of the home town crowd. The visitors counter with Alex Young.

The pitchers: Young (2-0, 0.68 ERA) has looked great in his limited time, but clearly the book is still out on the rookie, who makes his third career start here.

Lynn (12-4, 3.69) has won five straight starts, including going eight scoreless in a victory over the Rays on June 28th. Lynn has dominated the D-Backs throughout his career as well, going 6-0 with a 2.80 ERA in 12 career appearances vs. them.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Arizona is 4-9 (-2.4 units) this year as a road dog of +150 or more, while Texas is 14-6 (+5.9 units) as a home favorite of -110 or higher. I love Lynn in this spot and will lay the price with confidence.

10*