The set-up: The Padres fell 12-7 last night, but I think they'll bounce back in this favorable matchup. The visitors hand the ball to dynamic rookie Chris Paddack, while the Fish go with the struggling Trevor Richards.

The pitchers: Paddack (5-4, 2.84 ERA) is 4-3 with a 2.99 ERA in all "night" games this season.

Richards (3-10, 4.18) comes in on the heels of a five-game losing streak.

The pick: San Diego is desperate here as it looks to avoid a five-game losing streak. Note as well that the Padres are 12-7 (+8.9 units) in their last 19 after allowing 12 runs or more in their previous contest, while the Fish are still just 5-18 (-10.8 units) as a home dog in the +125 to +175 range. I think the "hungrier" team finds a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Lay it.

SD