The set-up: Gio Gonzalez has been sharp in his limited time for the Brewers, but I think he'll struggle vs. Zack Greinke and in this difficult road venue.

The pitchers: Gonzalez (2-1, 3.19 ERA) will make his first start in over eight weeks and I think he's being thrown to the wolves.

Greinke (10-4, 2.95) struggled in his first start back from the break, but overall he's been solid once again this season, especially at home where he's 4-1 with a 3.00 ERA.

The pick: Note that the D-Backs have now scored 39 runs over their past four games and I expect that offensive trend to continue here in this favorable matchup. Lay the price.

Arizona D-Backs

10* play