The set-up: The Twins lost two of three to the Yanks at home earlier in the week, but I think they'll bounce back here in this favorable spot. Minnesota hands the ball to Jose Berrios, while the home side goes with Lucas Giolito.

The pitchers: Berrios (8-5, 2.96 ERA) hasn't been at his best in the month of July, but despite going 0-1 over three trips to the hill, he's still posted a very respectable 3.45 ERA.

Giolito (11-4, 3.12) most recently gave up one run off seven hits over 6 2/3's innings in an unfortunate no-decision to the Rays, but previous to that he'd posted a 6.48 ERA over five starts.

The pick: Berrios has to be feeling confident here as he's 8-2 with a 2.21 ERA in 11 career starts vs. Chicago. Giolito is an unremarkable 3-3 with a 4.96 ERA in seven career starts vs. the Twins. After going 1-2 in back-to-back series against some of the best in the league, I think Minnesota comes in "focused on the task at hand" tonight. Lay the price.

Minnesota Twins 10* play