The set-up: The Tribe have won nine of their last 11, including yesterday's 4-0 victory at Toronto. Overall Cleveland is 27-21 on the road this year. KC has been hot as well, winning nine of 12 since the All Star Game, but I think the home side will struggle here in this clear mismatch on the mound. The visitors go with Adam Plutko, while the home side goes with Mike Montgomery.

The pitchers: Plutko (3-2, 4.81 ERA) faced KC on Saturday, giving up just one run off two hits over seven innings. In two starts vs. the Royals this year Plutko is 0-1 despite a minuscule 1.64 ERA.

Montgomery (1-3, 6.83) was rocked for five runs off six hits and a walk with one K in a 10-5 loss to the Indians on Friday. Overall for his career he's 0-1 with a 9.53 ERA in six regular season games vs. Cleveland.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Cleveland is already a sharp 22-10 (+9 units) this year vs. left-handed starters, while KC is just 13-21 as a home underdog. When you add it all up, it makes this a road price in which I have no issues at all in laying.

Cleveland Indians 8* play