The set-up: So far this has been a lop-sided series, with the Red Sox easily taking the first two games. I think that trend continues here with what I think to be a much bigger mismatch on the mound than what this line would suggest. The Yanks go with CC Sabathia, while the home side goes with Eduardo Rodriguez.

The pitchers: Sabathia (5-5, 4.50 ERA) has had plenty of success vs. the Red Sox throughout his career, but ht veteran comes in on terrible form, having posted a 6.35 ERA over three starts this month.

Rodriguez (12-4, 4.10) is 8-1 with a highly respectable 3.03 ERA over his last 11 starts and he's earned a victory in each of his last four trips to the hill.

The pick: So far the Yanks have been outscored 29-8 in this series and I expect that lop-sided offensive trend to continue. All things considered, a great price on a "team on a mission." Lay it.

8* play on the Boston Red Sox.