The set-up: Dustin May makes his MLB debut tonight and I think he'll be able to match his counterpart Eric Lauer inning for inning. And in a scenario like that, I think the value swings to the hungry and hard-hitting home side.

The pitchers: Lauer (5-8, 4.52) has had decent success vs. the Dodgers throughout his career, including in two earlier starts this season, but he enters in terrible form having lost four straight decisions.

May (0-0, 0.00) was 3-0 with a 2.30 ERA in his five Triple-A starts before getting the call up.

The pick: The Dodgers are 41-14 at home and I believe May slides in and gets a win in his first start as a pro. Lay the price.

LA Dodgers 8* play