The set-up: I think that the Reds build off yesterday's victory and take advantage of another mismatch on the mound today as well. The visitors go with Jose Suarez, while the home side goes with Anthony DeSclafani.

The pitchers: Suarez (2-2, 5.66 ERA) comes in off a terrible start vs. the lowly Tigers on Wednesday, allowing four runs with three walks over four innings, failing to strike out a single batter. Suarez failed to complete five innings in any of his five July starts and note that he's been terrible in all night games with a 6.08 ERA.

DeSclafani (6-6, 4.07) is coming off a loss vs. the hard-hitting Braves on Thursday, allowing three runs with five K's over five innings. DeSclafani has quietly turned things around of late, as over his last ten starts he's 4-3 with a 60:13 K:BB.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but LA is 7-13 (-4.6 units) as a road dog of +100 to +150 this season, while Cincinnati is 8-3 this season as a home fav of -150 or higher. I LOVE DeSclafani here and I do actually believe he could/should be a much bigger fav in this matchup. Lay the price.

Cincinnati Reds 10* play