The set-up: This is the first game of a double-header and I believe that the home side is going to lay the hammer down in the first game after leaving Toronto with a 1-0 victory yesterday afternoon. Baltimore earned an 8-7 win in Houston on Sunday, but previous to that had been outscored 58-16 during a five-game slide. The home side hands the ball to James Paxton, while the visitors go with Gabriel Ynoa.

The pitchers: Ynoa (1-6, 5.57) is 0-5 with a 6.45 ERA as a starter.

Paxton (7-6, 4.40) enters having gone 2-0 with a 2.13 ERA over his last two starts. Paxton is 4-1 with a 3.38 ERA in six career outings vs. Baltimore.

The pick: New York is 13-2 in this season series, hitting 52 home runs and scoring 118 runs, while collectively hitting .301 and posting a 1.028 OPS. The Yanks hit 16 homers in sweeping all three games vs. the Orioles in Baltimore last weekend and all signs point to another blowout early on Monday. Lay the 1.5 runs.