The set-up: I think the talent discrepancy on the mound tonight absolutely makes the Reds the correct call in this one. The visitors hand the ball to Sonny Gray, while the home side goes with Pablo Lopez.

The pitchers: Gray (9-6, 2.92 ERA) is 6-1 with a 1.58 ERA over his past ten starts.

Lopez (5-5, 4.23) has been out since June 15th because of a shoulder issue and I think he'll predictably struggle in his first start back.

The pick: Lopez is also 0-1 with a 7.71 ERA in one start vs. Cincinnati this season. In three career appearances vs. the Fish, Gray is 1-0 with a 3.38 ERA. Lay the price.

Cincinnati Reds 10* play