The set-up: I had a play on the Braves last night and I think they offer great value to get the job done again here as the visiting side looks to put some final nails into the Phillies' coffin as far as their playoff hopes are concerned. ATL has to be feeling confident as well in sending Julio Teheran to the hill, while the home side counters with Drew Smyly.

The pitchers: Teheran (10-8, 3.31 ERA) most recently went six frames and gave up three hits, one run and struck out eight in a 5-4 win over Washington. In his career he's 9-7 with a 3.71 ERA vs. Philadelphia.

Smyly (4-6, 6.20) is coming off a decent outing, but note that he's consistently been at his worst in all "home" situations this year, going just 1-4 with a ballooned 7.44 ERA.

The pick: ATL owns a 9.5 games lead over Washington, but it's still three games behind the Dodgers for the top mark in the NL. This game means just as much for Atlanta: "This is what you sign up for," Atlanta catcher Brian McCann said. "This is what you love. You get into September baseball and you're close to the finish line. We've done a great job from day one." The Phillies are desperate, but I think Teheran is the difference maker here. I'm laying the short price and expecting a decisive decision.

10* GAME OF THE YEAR on the Atlanta Braves.