The set-up: I had a play on the Braves as my "GOY" on Thursday and while that came up short, I've since come back with ATL the last two days and the Braves have indeed delivered the goods. But now I think the value has swung the other way to the desperate home side as it looks to break the slide and avoid the sweep. The visitors hand the ball to Max Fried, while the home side counter with Anibal Sanchez.

The pitchers: Fried (16-5, 4.02 ERA) is 1-1 with a 2.87 ERA in four career appearances vs. the Nats. It's difficult to say anything negative about Fried, so I won't bother. I simply feel that he's in the wrong place at the wrong time this afternoon.

Sanchez (8-8, 4.04) is 2-0 with a 4.50 ERA in two starts vs. his former team.

The pick: With yesterday's win the Braves have already punched their ticket to the post-season. Clearly they have bigger aspirations in mind, but there's also no question that after accomplishing that feat, that this now sets up as a natural "letdown" spot for Atlanta. I look for the "hungrier" team to get the job done.

10* ABSOLUTE ANNIHILATION on the Washington Nationals.