The set-up: It wouldn't be that difficult to write a convincing argument for either of these starting pitchers. I believe that Sonny Gray of the Reds and Yu Darvish of the Cubs are a "wash," here, but I also think that the conditions definitely overall favor the home side. Chicago has won five straight and I look for that momentum to get carried over here.

The pitchers: Gray (10-7, 2.80 ERA) gave up three runs over six innings in a loss to the Mariners on Wednesday.

Darvish (6-6, 3.97) is enjoying a bounce back campaign this season and he's 3-1 with a 3.35 ERA in seven career outings vs. the Reds.

The pick: The Reds are 30-46 on the road this year, while the Cubs are 51-24 at home. Lay the price with confidence.

10* COACH'S CORNER on the Chicago Cubs.