The set-up: Both teams come in undefeated. Boise State is the better team and it has the advantage, but the Falcons won't be going down without a fight today. I'm not calling for the outright upset, but I do believe that the stage is set for a much more competitive battle than what this spread would suggest. The only way to beat these Boise State Broncos is by keeping them off the field! And that's exactly what Air Force is designed to do as it looks to control the tempo of a contest with its strong run game, behind Tavin Birdow and Kadin Remsberg (note that the Falcons are second in the country in rushing with 353.5 YPG on the ground.)

The pick: Boise State will be relentless in its attack as well with QB Hank Bachmeier, but I believe the Falcons' improved defensive play, combined with their aggressive "run first" offensive attack will indeed keep this contest competitive until the final moments. Additionally note that AF is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 as a dog, while Boise State is just 5-8 ATS in its last 13 as a home favorite. I'm grabbing the points.

8* on Air Force.