The set-up: Outright victory? Of course not. But after jumping out to an early insurmountable lead, I think the Crimson Tide takes the foot off the gas in the second half and I look for the lowly Southern Miss Golden Eagles to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. Last week Alabama destroyed USC 47-23, with QB Tua Tagovailoa going for a career-high 444 passing yards. Southern Miss won't be lacking for motivation here as it enters off a 47-42 road win over Troy.

The pick: Golden Eagles' QB Jack Abraham had 463 passing yards and two TD's in last week's win. Abraham leads the Conference USA in passing and he'll be given the green light early and often this afternoon. I believe he's a difference maker. Additionally note that Southern Miss is 7-2 ATS in its last nine non conference road games as an underdog of 35 points or more. Grab the points.

8* play on the Southern Miss