The set-up: The Broncos are officially out of the playoff picture. The Chargers are on the verge of being eliminated as well, as they come out of their bye week in a "must win" scenario. Denver comes in off a humbling loss to the Bills, but it'll be playing for pride here at home as it looks to play the role of spoiler vs. Philip Rivers and the Chargers, who continue to struggle with offensive consistency this season. Rivers looks his age this year and I believe the veteran will predictably struggle in the high altitude of Denver vs. a Broncos team that's clearly in a foul mood.

The pick: Additionally note that LA has seen the total dip under the number in five of its last six as a road favorite, while Denver has seen the total go under in four of five as a home dog of three points or less. Both from a situtational stand point and from a trend/numbers based one, I think this one sets up as more of a defensive affair than a "shootout." Consider the under.

1* FREE PLAY on the UNDER Chargers/Broncos.