The set-up: App State is 10-1. Troy is 5-6. At 6-6, the Trojans wouldn't even necessarily be guarateed a bowl spot, but with a victory over the Mountaineers as part of that resume, they'd almost assuredly "get the call." App State has won three straight, while Troy's two game win streak came to an end with a loss to Louisiana Lafayette last weekend. Troy though has covered its last two in this series as a double-digit dog and with a bowl berth on the line, I think the Trojans can keep this one competitive late. App State is getting balanced production on both sides of the ball, led by QB Zac Thomas.

The pick: Troy has been much better at home than on the road (lost 53-3 at the Cajuns last weekend, but allowed an average of only 20 points in winning two straight previous home contests over South Alabama and Georgia Southern.) The Trojans won't be scared to throw here either, as QB Kaleb Barker has 3,300 passing yards this season with 30 TD's and nine picks. Note as well that App State is already 0-3 ATS this year off a blowout win by 21 points or more over a conference rival, while Troy is 4-1 ATS in its last five off a road loss. Expect a war unitl the end and grab the points with the Trojans.

10* BEST OF THE BEST on Troy.