The set-up: Both teams have seen the "under" hit of late. Miami has seen it go "under" in two straight victories at home. In its last road game though it lost 119-111 at Minnesota. San Antonio is pushing towards the playoffs, but after playing to three straight "unders" of its own and in need of a victory here, everything points to more of a wide-open affair than a defensive one.

The pick: One final strong O/U trend to support this theory as well sees the Spurs having seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last ten home games after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. The situation here definitely points to a run-and-gun "shootout."

This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the OVER Heat/Spurs.