The set-up: Two of the first three game shave gone "under" the number, but I expect a more wide-open affair in Game 4. The Leafs have one of the best offenses in the league and while the Canadiens have been stout defensively so far in this series, the Habs are going to have to go on the attack here now after dropping back-to-back games. Note that they've seen the total go "over" in eight of their last ten in trying to revenge two-straight losses against an opponent.

The pick: With the home side pushing the pace of this one, expect this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later.

This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the OVER Leafs/Habs.