Cincinnati Reds (Castillo) vs. Milwaukee Brewers (Woodruff)

The Brewers must be looking over their shoulders, because the Reds are hard charging. Winners of 5 of 6 against the Brewers this season, Cincinnati has taken two of three games of this series.

Today, Woodruff (7-4, WHIP of 0.78) faces Castillo (3-10, ERA of 5.13). On paper, this looks like a no-contest, but looking closer, Castillo, who started the season an unbelievable 1-10, has been very good in June and July. He is 4-3, has pitched 6+ per start and hasn’t given up more than 3 earned runs in his last 7. Woodruff had an uncharacteristic substandard start last outing, giving up 4 runs in 6 innings but otherwise he has been pretty stingy on the mound.

The Reds have won 7 of their last 9, & have the better offensive stats. The Brewers’ bullpen has been excellent of late.

My wager

Two good starters are on the mound, both potentially going deep in the game. Off a pair of losses, Milwaukee needs this win and Woodruff is the man to look to. Reds’ pen has struggled, but the Brewers’ relievers have been terrific in the last 7 games. Take the Brewers to WIN