Reds (Mahle:10-4, 3.69) vs, Marlins (Luzardo: 4-7, 7.91)

The Marlins, off a win against the Reds send out 23 year old Jesus Luzardo. Luzardo was an effective pitcher for the A’s last year but has struggled this season as his stats would suggest. August has been particularly cruel to him, as have right- handed batters. His opponent Tyler Mahle has pitched well for the Reds. The only knock against him is his struggle at home; in away games he is 6-1 with an ERA of 1.84

Miami has a strong bullpen, which is good because they are likely to need it on Sunday. The Reds’ bullpen has not been effective, although it got the job done on Saturday.

Miami is a low-scoring team, not a particular threat at home and a 10-23 underdog. The Reds are in the midst of a wild card spot race and cannot afford 2 straight losses to Miami. They are very strong against left-handed pitching. I don’t think it is a matter of whether the Reds win, just a question of how much. It is tempting to bet on -1 ½, but the Reds extended their shaky bullpen to multiple innings on Saturday.. Take the Reds to win outright.