Phillies (Nola, 9-8, 4.64) vs Braves (Fried,13-7, 3.12)

Off a win against the Phillies in the first game of the series, the Braves are not quite safe. Yet. However the Braves have a very sharp lefty, Max Fried, on the mound. Fried has allowed no runs in his last two starts, lasting 9 and 7 innings respectively. He is very successful at home.

Aaron Nola doesn’t pitch for the same length or success, and has allowed 10 runs over 17 innings over three starts. He has struggled on the mound.

The Braves and Phillies are just about even in offense at the moment, although the Phillies are not at their best against lefties. Both teams are hot, making this division a real race to the playoffs. The Braves are not the best road team, but are good as a favorite. The Phillies are 34-41 on the road.

The difference in this game is Max Fried. If he pitches even close to his last two starts the Braves are home free. Take the Braves to win outright.