Dodgers (Urias, 20-3, 2.96) vs Giants (Gausman, 14-6, 2.81)

Off a loss, the Dodgers start the only 20 game starter in the league this year, Julio Urias. He had a very strong finish to the season with a 4-0 record and an ERA of 2.20 in September. The Dodgers were able to manage his innings to the 5-6 range. He twice faced the Giants in July, allowing 2 runs total over 12+ innings, and is a proven winner in the post-season.

Facing him is Kevin Gausman, who was lights out early in the season but struggled in September with a 4.64 ERA. Gausman started 6 games in September and is approaching 200 innings, so fatigue may have been a factor in the late mini-slump. In his last two starts he appears to have returned to form. Gausman has never started in the post season.

Both bullpens have been sharp of late, although the Dodgers’ relievers allowed 2 runs last night.

The Dodgers have a very potent offense, and I don’t see them being shut out twice in two games. This is essentially a must win, so all stops will be pulled out. The Giants at 28-20 are not as effective vs. left-handed pitching, which could be the difference.

I like Urias and the Dodgers today in what will likely be a very close game. Take the Los Angeles to win outright.