Two of Houston's last three games were decided by 1 run. Javier excelled (0.00 ERA, 9 K's) in his lone 2023 postseason appearance. He's 5-1 with a 1.91 ERA in his playoff career. Scherzer is an all-time great but he hasn't pitched in some time. His career postseason stats (7-7, 3.58 ERA) are rather mediocre. He also got destroyed by the Astros just over a month ago. Five of Javier's last eight starts versus Texas have been 1-run games, including each of the last two. Grab the extra +1.5 runs.