The Lightning enter Game Four down 2-1 in the series and off a home victory. The Lightning have been excellent at home in the regular season and in the play-offs, but they barely eked out a win in the final moment on Sunday. This series will make or break on goaltending and home ice advantage. The Lightning have the home advantage on Tuesday, but goaltending has so far swung towards the Rangers . Vasilevskiy now has three games behind him since a too-long break between series and we are unlikely to see a repeat of Game One's performance. Shesterkin faced 51 shots in Game Three, held his team in the game until the final minute, and has been better than steady to date. You think there isn't just a little healthy rivalry between these two?

The Lightning will be buoyed up by the last minute victory, and are a large favorite vs. the Rangers on Tuesday. For another win they will have to shut down a hot Zibanejad, and put a few past Shesterkin, and there are no guarantees of either. I am looking for another big game from Vasilevskiy and banking on another low total.