The Yankees are 13-1 this year as a home favorite of -175 to -250. I have no doubt they will win tonight in this price range. But, for even better odds, play them on the run line (-1.5) instead. Beating the Rays by at least two runs tonight should not prove difficult.

The Yanks are also 9-0 on Tuesday this season. They come in with the best record in baseball (44-16 overall) and have won 11 of 12. Cole is starting tonight's game. He has a 0.79 WHIP in his six previous home starts.

Tampa Bay counters with Kluber, who also has pitched well recently. But he still has a 5.09 ERA on the road. The Yankees average 5.2 runs/game at home. They allow only 2.8. The run line is the smart play in this one.