The Pirates crushed the Cubs yesterday 12-1 and have now won back to back games for just the second time this month. Tuesday sees them sending out their best starting pitcher, Roansy Contreras, and he’s certainly due for a win, especially facing a Cubs team that has dropped 12 of its last 14 games.

These are two of the worst teams in baseball. But I look at Contreras as the difference maker in this matchup. He is still winless after five starts, but the team did win the last time they had him on the mound and that was against St. Louis as a +175 underdog. It’s a much weaker opponent they’re facing here.

In his first four starts, Contreras allowed only three runs and one was unearned.

The Cubs are now being outscored by almost two full runs per game on the road - where they allow 5.7 per game. It’s also not helping that over the last 11 days, the offense has scored 1 or 0 runs six different times.

Swarmer is the starter tonight for the Cubs. He’s allowed 10 runs over his previous two starts and tied a rather dubious franchise mark when he allowed six home runs against the Yankees. Play the favorite here.