The Broncos are in LA to take on the Rams on Christmas day. Who gets the black stuff gift-wrapped under the tree? My bet is the Rams, and here is why.

The Broncos are top five on defense, tough to play against in all areas. The Rams have a QB with 3 weeks experience and a suspect track record up against a very good pass defense. with good passer pressure stats as well. The Rams are even worse than the Broncos as far as protecting their passer, and rarely run the ball. Mayfield will have a bull's eye on his back all afternoon.

The offensively-challenged Broncos have actually scored more points than someone over the last three weeks, and that "someone" is the Rams. The Broncos have kicked it up a notch on offense recently. Their ran for 50% of plays last week, finishing with 165 yards and 4.9 a carry. Russell Wilson is back and Aaron Donald is not. Merry Christmas Russ. The Rams defense has struggled lately, and the pass defense is only 22nd rated. Wilson will be all in to finish on a high note after a putrid season.

The Broncos are favored, which just shows how far the mighty Rams have fallen. Give me the Broncos to win and cover.