Two 12-1 teams meet Tuesday in Big XII action as Texas hosts Kansas State. While these teams may have the same won-loss record, they are not viewed as equals. Texas is #6 at KenPom while Kansas State is #45. So I’m not surprised that the Longhorns opened as a double digit favorite.

The Chris Beard situation makes Texas a tricky team to handicap right now, but I still expect them to continue to play excellent defense. Their last five games have all gone Over, but there was an overtime game mixed in there (1st game w/o Beard) and the Longhorns scored 97 and 100 themselves in two others.

Kansas State is decent enough defensively (38th in efficiency) to keep the Texas offensive attack in check.

But worrisome for the Wildcats is the fact they were down 11 to West Virginia at halftime of their last game. They rallied for an overtime win, 82-76, but that was at home.

At the end of regulation, the score of that Kansas State-West Virginia game was 66-66. I really think we’ve got an inflated total on our hands here and will play the Under. 10*