PREMIUM
EARLY NL RUN LINE RIOT! 19-4 MLB RUN!
(MLB) Atlanta vs. Pittsburgh,
Point Spread: -1.50 | -123.00 Atlanta (Away)
Result: Loss
Point Spread: -1.50 | -123.00 Atlanta (Away)
Result: Loss
The probable starters for Thursday’s early game are relative youngsters with limited major league experience. Elder has had considerable success for the Braves (8-3 record), while Falter is just getting started with the Pirates after a tough start to the year with the Phillies. Elder blew his last start against the Cubs but the two before that were solid outings with 1 and 2 ERs allowed. In Falter’s lone start for the Pirates, he pitched a respectable 4 innings and allowed only 1 ER.
Both bullpens have solid relievers available to be called upon with Atlanta’s available relief pitchers owning a slightly lower ERA.
Where these two teams are really separated is at the plate. Atlanta has led the majors in avg. and OPS for most of the season and over the last 15 days they are still 1st in both avg. and OPS. They also do well against LH starters with the 2nd best avg and best OPS in the mojors. The Pirates don’t measure up here as they are in the bottom quarter of the league vs. RH starters and bottom half of the majors over the last 15 days in both avg and OPS. Atlanta’s record vs. LH starters is 14-6 while the Pirates record vs. RH starters is 35-44. The Braves also sport a 25-13 record for day games while the Pirates are a mediocre 21-27 for day games.
To further cement this call on the spread the Braves have averaged 7 runs/9 innings over their last 7 games while the Pirates have only averaged 4.4 runs/9 innings. That difference alone should be more than enough to justify laying the points and going with the Braves.
Both bullpens have solid relievers available to be called upon with Atlanta’s available relief pitchers owning a slightly lower ERA.
Where these two teams are really separated is at the plate. Atlanta has led the majors in avg. and OPS for most of the season and over the last 15 days they are still 1st in both avg. and OPS. They also do well against LH starters with the 2nd best avg and best OPS in the mojors. The Pirates don’t measure up here as they are in the bottom quarter of the league vs. RH starters and bottom half of the majors over the last 15 days in both avg and OPS. Atlanta’s record vs. LH starters is 14-6 while the Pirates record vs. RH starters is 35-44. The Braves also sport a 25-13 record for day games while the Pirates are a mediocre 21-27 for day games.
To further cement this call on the spread the Braves have averaged 7 runs/9 innings over their last 7 games while the Pirates have only averaged 4.4 runs/9 innings. That difference alone should be more than enough to justify laying the points and going with the Braves.
