Probable starter Alcantara is a big intimidating force who can sometimes pitch deep into a game and at others needs to be taken out like everyone else. His biggest problem has been that the Marlins can’t provide run support. They have averaged 1.9 run/9 innings over their last 7 and have a 3-7 record over their last 10 to show for it. The fact that they have been 25th in avg. and 24th in OPS over the last 15 days is what leads to this paucity of scoring.

In the other clubhouse the Rays will counter with probable starter Civales who has had a 1.60 ERA over his last 5 starts and a 3-1 record to go with it. His club has provided 7.4 runs/9 innings over their last 7 games and sports the 3rd best avg. and 5th best OPS over the last 15 days, so it is no wonder they are scoring at a high rate. It’s clear what has led to their 8-2 record over their last 10.

Add to all this the Rays 8-2 head-to-head record in the last 10 vs. the Marlins and you have a solid high value play with the Rays.