Brentford and Bournemouth are heading in different directions these days. It’s surprising that the sportsbooks still offer such good value for you to make use of. In their last 5 head-to-head Brentford holds a 4-1-1 advantage. In their last 19 at home Brentford is 10-2-7. Bournemouth has no wins in their first three to start this season, is an abysmal 0-6-1 in their last 7 and their only 2 wins in their last 10 EPL games were against now relegated clubs.
Unsurprisingly 4 of the top predictors pick Brentford to win handily. Bournemouth’s shortcomings mostly stem from backline problems that make them too easy to break down. This has led to an average of almost 2 goals against in their last 10 EPL games. When you add that to there being only 4 EPL clubs with worse stats comparing actual goals to the X-goals model you have a recipe for failure. It’s not surprising that they have the 2nd worst goals against record in the EPL this season. They also have the 3rd worst goals created actions/90 min in the EPL so there isn’t a lot out there for possible improved goal production. This should be a very good play tolay the goals and take Brentford for this one.