Burnley’s start to the season has been unkind. They have surrendered the most goals in the EPL so far this season and have only played 3 games (almost everyone else has played 5). They are also last in 1st half and 2nd half goals surrendered. They have had some scheduling bad luck, but still, they are averaging more than 3 goals against per game.
Notts Forest are unbeaten in their last 4 at home (Brighton, Southampton, Arsenal, Sheffield U.). They are 8th in goals for in the 1st half and the 2nd half. 2022 signing Awonyi has scored or assisted in each of his last 8 games (9 goals). They are so direct in their attacking that only West Ham moves the ball upfield at a faster rate.
All four of the major prediction services predict a Forest win. Their return to the EPL has been difficult and this one is not going to be any easier as Forest is still flying after their win over Chelsea before the break. Lay the fraction of a point and play Forest on this one.