My NBA total of the week is on Dallas/OKC over at 8:00 pm et on Saturday. When this series began the total was 218.5. It was down to 217 by the time that the series moved to Dallas in Game 3. Now look at it. The much lower total obviously means we don't require nearly as many points to cash with the over. Put another way, that much lower total is giving us a lot of line value.

The Thunder are 6-1 to the over when off 3 or more consecutive unders. They are also 7-2-1 to the over after a loss by 10 points or more. The Mavericks are 7-4-1 to the over when playing with 2 days rest. Play on the Over.