T.M. Selection: Michigan Wolverines - ATS

1) I like the Wolverines to get the solid win and cover in this game against the Spartans on Saturday, October 26th. The line has come crashing down to 3.5 after being up near double digits originally! Do the markets really believe the oddsmakers were that far off of reality on this one from the get go?

2) This massive line move simply does not make sense. The coaching edge here would go to the Spartans and certainly Michigan State is a much improved team. However, this team does not have the talent level that the Wolverines have. Michigan is still one of the top programs in the country from a recruiting and talent perspective while the Spartans are still rebuilding!

3) Though these teams are each 4-3 on the season, Michigan is 4-1 at home this season with their only loss to a very strong Texas team! The Spartans are 1-2 on the road this season and they went 0-2 this season against ranked teams with the losses by an average margin of 26 points. The Wolverines did beat a ranked USC team this season. Also, Jack Tuttle should be better at QB at home and in what will now be his 3rd game under center and first time in B2B weeks this season. The consistency helps him plus the Wolverines ground game is a big edge in this one.

T.M. Prediction: 24-14 Michigan.

Line: -4