T.M. Selection: SMU Mustangs - ATS

1) I like the Mustangs to get the solid win in this game against the Cavaliers on Saturday, November 23rd. The line looks like a trap line to take the home team as a double digit underdog (currently 10 to 10.5) and I am not falling for it!

2) SMU just needs to win out to make it to the CFB playoffs and their only loss this season was by 3 points to a tough BYU team. The yardage was equal in that game until the Cougars got what ended up being the game-winning FG courtesy of a 67-yard drive! The Mustangs, as you can see, are very nearly undefeated this season! 6 of 8 SMU wins since a tight season-opening win have been by at least a 10 point margin.

3) Virginia has lost 4 of 5 games and has given up an average of 41 points in the last 3 defeats. The Cavaliers have lost 3 of 4 home games since a season-opening win and 2 of the 3 defeats were blowout losses. I expect another blowout defeat by 10+ in this one. Road team rolls here as the Mustangs have too much offense for the Cavs to keep up and they also have the better defense. SMU adds to their 5-2 ATS run and make it 6-2 ATS last 8 games!

T.M. Prediction: 38-17 SMU.

Line: -10