T.M. Selection: Fresno State Bulldogs - Moneyline

1) I like the Fresno State Bulldogs to win this game against the Colorado State Rams on Saturday, November 23rd. The line is in the -3 to -3.5 range and for my money the better value is therefore with the money line in the -155 range.

2) This line looks like a trap to take Colorado State as a road dog as they are a perfect 5-0 in the MWC and also on a perfect run of 7 straight covers ATS. The Bulldogs are favored here and this could fool the masses but not us! Let's get the money here with Fresno State as the home team is still in need of a 6th win for bowl eligibility and they have a tough game on deck with UCLA and this is the Bulldogs MWC finale. Fresno State highly motivated to get that 6th win here and knock off one of just two remaining MWC teams that are undefeated in their MWC games.

3) In terms of yardage allowed statistics, Fresno State has the better defense in this match-up and they are sure to be ready on their home field here. The Bulldogs had won 23 of 30 games (including bowls) prior to these two defeats and Fresno State blew a 20-7 fourth quarter lead in most recent home game. I am sure the Bulldogs will maintain full focus for the full 60 in this one and they catch the Rams off the big win in "The Border War" rivalry with Wyoming. Perfect set up for this one.

T.M. Prediction: 28-17 Fresno State.

Line: -149