T.M. Selection: Miami Dolphins - ATS

1) I like the Dolphins to get the solid home win in this game against the Patriots on Sunday, November 24th. The line looks like a trap line to take the road team as a big underdog (currently 7 to 7.5) considering Miami has only one more win than New England. I am not falling for it!

2) Miami has been a different team since QB Tagovailoa has come back and this offense is humming again. The Patriots defense has regressed this season and the offense does not have enough firepower to keep with Tua and the Dolphins in this one!

3) The Dolphins have won B2B games plus scored 28 ppg last 4 games! The Patriots have lost 8 of 10 games since their season opening win and their victories this season are against teams with an 11-21 record. One can argue the Dolphins record is not good either but again they were without Tagovailoa much of the season. They are back to being the Miami of old again and they crush the Patriots down in south Florida for this one! Big home edge and the line could easily be double digits here. I am grabbing the value.

T.M. Prediction: 31-16 Dolphins.

Line: -7