T.M. Selection: Penn State Nittany Lions - ATS

1) I like the Nittany Lions to get the solid win in this game against the Mustangs on Saturday, December 21st. The line looks like a trap line to take the team with the identical record as nearly a double digit underdog (currently 8.5 to 9.5) and I am not falling for it!

2) SMU facing a tough match-up here on the road in cold weather against a PSU side that can run the ball so well and is known for fantastic defense. The Mustangs were down by 17 to Clemson before rallying and they won't be able to make that same type of comeback in this venue! .

3) Penn State was truly so close to a perfect season as they blew an early 10-0 lead versus Ohio State and also very nearly beat Oregon in a high-scoring shootout. The Nittany Lions so strong in the trenches and this is not a good match-up for the Mustangs. Penn State can play with (and win with) old Big Ten style football here. Their defense will frustrate SMU and the Mustangs will not be able to trade scores with the potent Nittany Lions here in their own home.

T.M. Prediction: 37-17 Penn State.

Line: -8.5