T.M. Selection: Kansas City Chiefs - Moneyline

1) I like the Kansas City Chiefs to win this game handily against the Buffalo Bills on Sunday, January 26th. The line is in the -1.5 to -2 range and for my money the better value is therefore with the money line in the -125 range.

2) The Bills end up disappointing their fans every year and it happens again here. They are known for strong regular seasons but then just not quite being able to do enough to get to the big game. Last week they were at home and yet still got outgained heavily in yardage against the Ravens. Truthfully Buffalo was lucky to win that game and it was at home and now they are on the road and facing a very tough Chiefs defense. This looks like another playoff exit for Buffalo.

3) The Chiefs just keep on finding ways to win and they have not even had that game where they truly put it all together on both sides of the ball. One knows that is coming and it likely happens right here as they take advantage of a Bills team having to travel again and Allen's numbers not as strong on the road and Mahomes outduels him here. Buffalo also has a mental block about getting over the hump and finally getting to a Super Bowl as they have not been in 31 years and come up short in the post-season consistently in the Josh Allen era. Confidence with the home team here and they know what it takes to execute in the biggest of games like this.

T.M. Prediction: 28-20 Kansas City

Line: -125