T.M. Selection: Youngstown State.

The Penguins are off a huge win at Horizon League leaders Cleveland State. While that may make it seem like this is a flat spot for Youngstown State, the reality is that home court and a fierce late season battle for the top spot in the Horizon means there will be no loss of focus here. Adding to the value on the Penguins here is they have revenge for a loss at Wisconsin-Milwaukee earlier this season by double digits. Like Youngstown State, the Panthers have been playing well also but UW-Milwaukee's road wins this season have come only against weaker teams in the conference. Until the Panthers can proven they can win a road game against one of the better teams in the Horizon League, they truly seem like a must-fade in a spot like this. With the line in the -1.5 to -2 range overnight, the best value for my money is on the money line in this spot. I lay the price with confidence and the -125 range seems more than reasonable here as home court and revenge lead the way to victory for the host Penguins in this one!

T.M. Prediction: 80-70 Youngstown State