PREMIUM
Major
(NFL) Kansas City vs. Oakland,
Point Spread: 7.50 | -105.00 Oakland (Home)
Result: Win
Point Spread: 7.50 | -105.00 Oakland (Home)
Result: Win
We will count as a Major on our record because we bet it early at 7 but at 7.5 bet it as a Wise Guy.
This is a Performance Gap Analysis pick.
Based on years of experience, and significant trial and error, we have developed a performance gap analysis. It is based on the statistical hypothesis testing and concludes that yards per rush, yards per pass, and yards per play on offense and defense are most indicative of talent and less variable. They are lead indicators.
Yards per point and turnovers are more affected by random chance or luck and/or more correctable, hence more variable and tougher to maintain. They are lag indicators.
The former is more a precursor to future results than the latter and a dichotomy between the two subsets measures upside/downside.
This says that a team with a bad turnover rate and an inefficient defense is a very undervalued team to the tune of 1179-985-46.
If this is not a sandwich game for Kansas City then none is. Oh it does not guarantee a cover fading them, but in between Seattle and Denver, it is tough for the big road chalk to not overlook this a little.
This is a big Oakland building block contest. Raiders holding teams to .2 yards per carry and .1 yards per play below normal average. They play rock solid defense.
Other systems here: bet on a road team off win as home underdogs 186-278-12 since 1990. Go with a team on at least an eight-game losing streak 154-106-2. It is 114-70-1 when winless (62 percent, 3.23 z-score)
We would be shocked to not see Oakland RB Latavius Murray get more looks, as he is averaging 5.4 yards per carry. Look I know a journeyman handicapper who becomes obsessed with thinking playing on national
This game is the Raiders only appearance in prime time this season. Remember when the NFL decided to have games every Thursday night, part of the thinking was guaranteeing every team would have one true national game. This is the Raiders chance to show some promise.
This is a Performance Gap Analysis pick.
Based on years of experience, and significant trial and error, we have developed a performance gap analysis. It is based on the statistical hypothesis testing and concludes that yards per rush, yards per pass, and yards per play on offense and defense are most indicative of talent and less variable. They are lead indicators.
Yards per point and turnovers are more affected by random chance or luck and/or more correctable, hence more variable and tougher to maintain. They are lag indicators.
The former is more a precursor to future results than the latter and a dichotomy between the two subsets measures upside/downside.
This says that a team with a bad turnover rate and an inefficient defense is a very undervalued team to the tune of 1179-985-46.
If this is not a sandwich game for Kansas City then none is. Oh it does not guarantee a cover fading them, but in between Seattle and Denver, it is tough for the big road chalk to not overlook this a little.
This is a big Oakland building block contest. Raiders holding teams to .2 yards per carry and .1 yards per play below normal average. They play rock solid defense.
Other systems here: bet on a road team off win as home underdogs 186-278-12 since 1990. Go with a team on at least an eight-game losing streak 154-106-2. It is 114-70-1 when winless (62 percent, 3.23 z-score)
We would be shocked to not see Oakland RB Latavius Murray get more looks, as he is averaging 5.4 yards per carry. Look I know a journeyman handicapper who becomes obsessed with thinking playing on national
This game is the Raiders only appearance in prime time this season. Remember when the NFL decided to have games every Thursday night, part of the thinking was guaranteeing every team would have one true national game. This is the Raiders chance to show some promise.
