PREMIUM
Wise Guy
(NBA) Atlanta vs. Minnesota,
Point Spread: -6.50 | -101.00 Atlanta (Away)
Result: Win
Point Spread: -6.50 | -101.00 Atlanta (Away)
Result: Win
Keep in mind this is an example of where we release bets before lines are widely available. NOTE: We inserted widely available line.
Hawks PG Jeff Teague is questionable though Atlanta a surprising 3-0 against the spread minus him. He is fourth most effective PG. Atlanta 17-0 ATS after a game on the road. Minnesota 3-20 with at most one day of rest off a game in which at least 6 players scored 10 or more points win on the road
If a road favorite of 5.5 or more is coming off a loss as an underdog and/or road loss, they continue to be a profitable bet since the 1980s.
The theory being that one quality team loses to another quality squad, then will take out their frustrations on an inferior team. Our scorephone clients have won with this for more than a quarter century and when we discovered it, the winnings went back as far as our database did: to 1980.
Please note that the original angle was 5.5 or more. We noticed that after the turn of the century, shorter-term we saw the system was better at -5. However, in retrospect that fine-tuning was a wash. It is much stronger at -5.5. If the line drops below 5.5, it still applies as the angle is based on using oddsmakers knowledge against them and not affected by square moves.
Hawks PG Jeff Teague is questionable though Atlanta a surprising 3-0 against the spread minus him. He is fourth most effective PG. Atlanta 17-0 ATS after a game on the road. Minnesota 3-20 with at most one day of rest off a game in which at least 6 players scored 10 or more points win on the road
If a road favorite of 5.5 or more is coming off a loss as an underdog and/or road loss, they continue to be a profitable bet since the 1980s.
The theory being that one quality team loses to another quality squad, then will take out their frustrations on an inferior team. Our scorephone clients have won with this for more than a quarter century and when we discovered it, the winnings went back as far as our database did: to 1980.
Please note that the original angle was 5.5 or more. We noticed that after the turn of the century, shorter-term we saw the system was better at -5. However, in retrospect that fine-tuning was a wash. It is much stronger at -5.5. If the line drops below 5.5, it still applies as the angle is based on using oddsmakers knowledge against them and not affected by square moves.