Go against a team off a blowout loss as long as they are not horrific is 1496-1319 for +107 units. Houston is regressing to the mean losing 6-of-8 for -6.4 units. San Francisco is 13-6 the last 19.

Houston is not nearly as good as their early start indicated and San Francisco is better than their terrible start, an expected hangover. Ride as each crests to their level. Five, yes five times in their last eight games, the Stros have gotten one or fewer runs. Houston has an OPS at home of just .635 despite the great start, while San Francisco is .711 on the road.