Charlotte is most definitely a run-first team and they are off easily the two best rushing efforts of the season. They only get 5.6 passing yards per attempt to teams normally allowing 7.1 but have combined for 532 yards on the ground the last two games.

Likewise their yards per pass attempt, yards per pass, and yards per play on defense suggest they are much better than the points per game statistic indicates. Look for Charlotte to go heavy with Kalif Phillips, who has 125 carries for 703 yards and four touchdowns to lead C-USA in rushing.

Southern Miss is going to focus on taking care of the ball this week, which means likely a more conservative approach. Our true line (previously known as outlaw line) has a total of 56. The true line is what the line would be without public perception or bad line moves.