When I bet this the Niners were dogs, but the angle holds up for small favorites. Underdogs that have not overachieved are 1168-972-58. Road underdogs not in a big losing streak versus opponent off a loss is 231-144-11. When both apply, it is 118-64-5 for 23.8 ROI including 11-4 this year.

This is an outsourced pick from the short-list of very entrusted experts. Previously called a competitor consensus, the name was changed to reflect it does not always come from the few quality professionals who sell picks, but also can come from any sharp source. As long as I am not leaning the other way, I will bet a trusted outscource.