In his last sevens starts Kyle Lohse has an ERA of 2.04 with a WHIP of 1.136. Milwaukee has won six of those. He has given up 10 ER in those seven starts, yet favorite Jeff Locke has given up 11 in his last two, sporting a 14.84 ERA and 3.298. Locke is averaging less than six innings per start and has gone five straight without making it to the end of the sixth. In 18 starts to Pittsburgh, Lohse has a 9-2 personal mark with an ERA of 3.44 and a WHIP of 1.192.

Last five games Milwaukee has a slugging percentage of .465 to just .327 for Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh is 3-8 the last 11 as favorites.